Using EPFR and CEIC data to analyze the August 2024 correction

Fund flows, monetary policies and key macroeconomic indicators interact in intricate ways.

The dramatic selloff recently experienced across global markets was thought to have been triggered by the Bank of Japan’s latest decision, leaning towards a monetary normalization policy. Weaker-than-expected indicators coming from the US have also affected market sentiment.

What were money flows showing before the selloff?

Using EPFR’s fund flow data and CEIC’s proprietary, machine learning-driven economic nowcasts, this Chart Pack dissects the market positioning in the run up to sell-off.

Charts representing "US and Japan Year to date Equity Fund Flows"

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Outside of the US, sails flapping at year’s end

Outside of the US, sails flapping at year’s end

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Some late innings shifts as 2024 winds down

Some late innings shifts as 2024 winds down

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The Fed gives, the Fed takes away

The Fed gives, the Fed takes away

With the Syrian civil war reaching – at least for now – a prompt resolution, China adopting a looser monetary stance, and both the US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank expected to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points before the New Year, investors found some things to cheer about during the first full week of December.

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