Chasing earnings and keeping powder dry

With four out of five US companies reporting third quarter earnings that beat expectations, US equity markets climbed to fresh record highs during the fourth week of October. Mutual fund investors climbed aboard the earnings bandwagon, steering $28 billion into EPFR-tracked Equity Funds.

While focusing on the positive, however, those investors also shored up their defenses against inflation and the new taxes that may or may not emerge from the spending bills being pushed by US President Joseph Biden’s administration. Inflation Protected Bond Funds posted their second-largest weekly inflow so far this year, Bank Loan Funds took in fresh money for the 42nd time in the 43 weeks year-to-date and Cryptocurrency Funds chalked up their second record inflow since the beginning of the month.

Staying close to cash proved popular, with Money Market Funds recording their biggest collective inflow since the fourth week of 2Q20. Overall, flows into those liquidity funds during the week ending Oct. 27 totaled $79.7 billion. Equity Funds absorbed $28 billion, Bond Funds $8.6 billion, Balanced Funds $2.4 billion and Alternative Funds $1.8 billion.

Graph depicting the 'Cumulative flows, as percentage of Assets under management, for major money market fund groups, from 2016 to date'.

Graph depicting 'Change, in basis points for GEM equity fund allocations to major markets, 2021 to date'.

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Turkish assets take a roasting in late March

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Another volatile week for global asset markets saw investors gravitate to funds offering exposure to gold, technology, diversified developed markets equity, dollar-denominated liquidity and European stocks during the fourth week of March. With risk appetite still at a low ebb, especially among fixed income investors, Bank Loan Funds extended their longest run of outflows since mid-3Q24, High Yield Bond Funds posted their second outflow over the past three and there was a strong reaction to the latest bout of political unrest in Turkey with EPFR-tracked Turkey Bond and Money Market Funds both setting new outflow records.

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