Earnings growth wrestles inflation for control of market narrative

Rising prices and higher-than-expected earnings shaped investor sentiment during the third week of October. Most of the companies reporting their 3Q21 numbers surpassed expectations. But their reports and forecasts were qualified by the shortages, input cost increases and supply chain issues they are facing.

Investors responded by pouring nearly $25 billion into EPFR-tracked Equity Funds, with 10 of the 11 major Sector Fund groups recording inflows for the week, and by stepping up their search for inflation protection. Bank Loan and Inflation Protection Funds took in over $1 billion apiece, and Cryptocurrency Funds extended their current inflow streak.

Graph depicting the 'Cumulative flows, as percentage of Assets under management, for major money market fund groups, from 2016 to date'.

Graph depicting 'Change, in basis points for GEM equity fund allocations to major markets, 2021 to date'.

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Turkish assets take a roasting in late March

Turkish assets take a roasting in late March

Another volatile week for global asset markets saw investors gravitate to funds offering exposure to gold, technology, diversified developed markets equity, dollar-denominated liquidity and European stocks during the fourth week of March. With risk appetite still at a low ebb, especially among fixed income investors, Bank Loan Funds extended their longest run of outflows since mid-3Q24, High Yield Bond Funds posted their second outflow over the past three and there was a strong reaction to the latest bout of political unrest in Turkey with EPFR-tracked Turkey Bond and Money Market Funds both setting new outflow records.

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