Investors parse the meaning of transitory going into December

Hopes that the impact of Covid’s Omicron variant will prove transitory, concern that it will not, and fears that inflation is here to stay whip-sawed global markets during the final days of November. Concerns about the latter issue were crystalized by recently reappointed US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s admission that price pressures could spur the Fed to accelerate the tapering of its asset purchases.

Mutual fund investors responded by reassessing their outlooks for the global economy, US interest rates and risk assets. Global Equity Funds posted their first outflow in over 17 months, US Bond Funds experienced their heaviest redemptions since late 1Q20, and investors pulled over $4 billion out of High Yield Bond Funds.

Equity funds dedicated to the world’s two largest economies, China and the US, attracted solid amounts of fresh money despite their contrasting approaches to dealing with the pandemic, and Money Market Funds extended their longest inflow streak since 2Q20. Two groups associated with market turbulence, Volatility (VIX) and Cryptocurrency Funds, went separate ways with the former posting their biggest outflow since late 1Q20 and Cryptocurrency Funds extending an inflow streak stretching back to mid-August.

Graph depicting the 'Cumulative weekly flows, 2021 to date, in US million dollars, for volatility and cryptocurrency funds'.

Graph depicting the '2021 to date buying/selling of major emerging markets, in percentage of Assets under management, by all EPFR-tracked equity funds'.

Did you find this useful? Get our EPFR Insights delivered to your inbox.

Related Posts

Some holiday cheer as 2024 winds down

Some holiday cheer as 2024 winds down

With the Syrian civil war reaching – at least for now – a prompt resolution, China adopting a looser monetary stance, and both the US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank expected to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points before the New Year, investors found some things to cheer about during the first full week of December.

Dots get harder to connect in early December

Dots get harder to connect in early December

The first four days of December served up $100,000 Bitcoin, the collapse of the French government, a new twist to the conflict in the Middle East and South Korea’s flirtation with martial law. With the holiday season on the horizon and 2024 winding down, investors responded to these events by rotating from conventional assets classes to unconventional ones and cash.

Money flows to the eye of future storms

Money flows to the eye of future storms

US President-elect Donald Trump has made it clear he has little truck with the logic of climate change. But investors expect Trump’s presidency will make the global investment climate markedly less stable in the coming years. They are also taking him at his word that ‘America first’ will underpin his administration’s economic policymaking and acting accordingly.

Better, More Actionable Insights

Let us show you how EPFR can create value for your specific strategy