Omicron? The grinch that stole the global growth story before Christmas? Or the angel of disinflation that will banish the specter of interest rate hikes? The first week of December saw investors weighing both interpretations of the latest Covid-19 variant and making cautious guesses about which one is more credible.

Flows to EPFR-tracked fund groups during the first week of December tilted towards the positive – at least for the US. Investors steered money into US Equity Funds for the 11th straight week, US Bond and Global Equity Funds rebounded from their first outflows in over seven and 17 months, respectively, and US Money Market Funds took in fresh money for the seventh time in the past eight weeks.

Graph depicting the 'Top 30 fund groups by net inflows, in US dollar millions, year-to-date.'

Graph depicting the 'Cumulative weekly retail and institutional flows, as percentage of Assets under management, for China equity funds, from 2020 to date'.

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A recession in the second half of the year, triggered by the impact of current interest rates on the real estate sector and the banks that lend to it, is a fearful scenario for investors. This was reflected in the flows for EPFR-tracked Sector Funds during the week ending May 10, with a combined $3.8 billion redeemed from Financial, Real Estate, Energy and Commodities Sector Funds.

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