Risk appetite reviving as first quarter ends

The final week of March saw Russia’s invasion of Ukraine head into its sixth week. But investors appear increasingly comfortable with the idea that it is predominantly a European problem, that its short-term impact on energy prices will be blunted by higher production outside Russia and the end of winter in the northern hemisphere, and that the stalling of Russia’s advance makes a settlement of the conflict increasingly likely.

Flows to EPFR-tracked fund groups reflected this less defensive outlook. High Yield Bond Funds posted their first inflow since the first week of January and biggest since early November, Emerging Market Equity Funds snapped their modest outflow streak, flows into Global Bond Funds hit an 11-week high and investors committed over $3 billion to Technology Sector Funds.

A greater willingness to stretch for yield did not distract mutual fund investors from their pursuit of lower costs. Collective Investment Trusts (CITs), pooled investment vehicles that are not regulated by the SEC and have smaller compliance burdens that allow them to charge lower fees, continue to see money pour in. Actively managed Equity Funds, meanwhile, have seen over $30 billion redeemed year-to-date while lower cost Equity Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have absorbed $206 billion.

Chart representing 'Percentage Flow by Vehicle percentage of AUM, cumulative, monthly'

Overall, a net $18.9 billion flowed into EPFR-tracked Equity Funds in the week ending March 30 while Bond Funds absorbed $6.2 billion, Balanced Funds $1.3 billion, Alternative Funds $2.4 billion and Money Market Funds $12.1 billion. Japan Money Market Funds ended the first quarter with their largest inflow year-to-date and Europe MM Funds with their 10th outflow in the past 13 weeks.

At the single country and asset class fund levels, Convertible and Mortgaged-Backed Bond Funds both recorded their 19th consecutive outflow, Total Return Bond Funds extended their longest redemption streak since 4Q18, Dividend Equity Funds chalked up their 12th weekly inflow of the quarter and flows into Cryptocurrency Funds climbed to a 22-week high. Canada Bond Funds chalked up their biggest inflow since 4Q15, Japan Bond Fund their biggest outflow since 1Q21 and New Zealand Equity Funds their biggest inflow since 2Q21.

Did you find this useful? Get our EPFR Insights delivered to your inbox.

Related Posts

Clock ticking down to second Trump presidency

Clock ticking down to second Trump presidency

The second week of January saw Americans mourning their 39th president, watching in horror as large swathes of Los Angeles burned and – along with the rest of the world – positioning themselves for the return of Donald Trump to the White House. Against this backdrop, which also included better-than-expected inflation figures from the US and UK, investors steered another $20 billion into US Equity and Bond Funds, rotated from cryptocurrencies to gold, responded strongly to the first round of financial sector earnings reports and pulled over $1.8 billion from Equity Funds with socially responsible (SRI) or environmental, social and governance (ESG) mandates.

Investors come out of the gate like bulls

Investors come out of the gate like bulls

A damn-the-torpedoes spirit gripped investors during the first week of the New Year.

Faced with bond vigilantes stampeding UK sovereign yields and year-ahead forecasts devoting space to overheated US valuations, the impact of tariffs on inflation and trade, China’s slowing economic growth, rising corporate defaults and the vast borrowing requirements of most leading economies, investors responded in contrarian fashion. They steered over $10 billion into both US Equity and Bond Funds while flows into China Equity and High Yield Bond Funds climbed to four and seven-week highs, respectively.

Outside of the US, sails flapping at year’s end

Outside of the US, sails flapping at year’s end

The first two months of 2024 saw Japan, India, Technology and China Equity Funds absorb a net $5.2 billion, $10.7 billion, $14.1 billion and $44.6 billion, respectively, while US Equity Funds pulled in a minimal $3.4 billion. During the final two months of last year, however, US Equity Funds added $174 billion as they set a new full-year inflow record while flows to the other groups ranged from an outflow of over $10 billion for Japan Equity Funds to an inflow of $2.2 billion for China Equity Funds.

Better, More Actionable Insights

Let us show you how EPFR can create value for your specific strategy