Fear of 50 keeping investors on edge

The second week of February was another bumpy one for financial markets as Russian sabers rattled along the Ukrainian border, the price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil hit $95 a barrel for the first time since 3Q14 and some US Federal Reserve policymakers talked of a 50 basis point hike in March. Fund flows reflected the uncertainty, with flows into all EPFR-tracked Equity Funds falling to less than a twentieth of the previous week’s total and redemptions from Bond Funds climbing again to a 49-week high.

The Fed is not the only central bank whose messaging is rattling investors. Although the European Central Bank (ECB) has soft-pedalled its recent admission that keeping the lid on inflation may require more than just waiting patiently for it to subside, Europe Equity and Bond Funds both posted outflows during the week ending Feb. 16. The combined outflows were the largest since the first week of December.

There was still appetite for less conventional asset classes. Alternative Funds, which saw over $9 billion redeemed during the final month of 2021, posted their fifth straight inflow as their year-to-date total climbed past the $10 billion mark. Flows to Cryptocurrency Funds, meanwhile, jumped to a 12-week high ahead of a report from the Financial Stability Board highlighting the risks that digital currencies could pose to financial stability.

It was another tough week, flow wise, for liquidity funds. Europe Money Market Funds extended their longest outflow streak since 1Q21, and US Money Market Funds posted their fifth largest weekly outflow since EPFR started tracking them in 1Q07. US Money Market Funds, which face the possibility of another round of reforms, have seen over $240 billion flow out so far this year.

At the single country and asset class fund levels, investors pulled money out of Inflation Protected and Mortgage-Backed Bond Funds for the fourth and 13th straight weeks, respectively, while Bank Loan Funds chalked up their 11th straight inflow. Redemptions from Italy Bond Funds hit their highest level since mid-1Q21, Italy Equity Funds recorded their biggest outflow in over 20 months, flows into Canada Equity Funds hit a 55-week high and outflows from China Bond Funds were the biggest on record.

Did you find this useful? Get our EPFR Insights delivered to your inbox.

Related Posts

Fund flows prove resilient as noise levels rise

Fund flows prove resilient as noise levels rise

During WWII, civilians were constantly reminded that “loose lips sink ships.” In early 3Q24, it appeared that loose lips can also sink chips as Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump roiled already unsettled markets with his assertion that Taiwan (POC) should pay the US for the latter’s contribution to the island’s defense.

Risk appetite climbs in early July

Risk appetite climbs in early July

With US inflation behaving itself, French and British elections in the rearview mirror and another corporate earnings season that is expected to bolster the case for (most) current S&P 500 valuations kicking off in earnest next week, risk appetite climbed appreciably during the week ending July 10.

At the halfway point, glass half full

At the halfway point, glass half full

Investors spent the first few days of the third quarter trying to link the potential outcomes of snap elections in the UK and France, and shifts in the American political landscape with the potential outcomes for those countries’ asset markets. It was an exercise that left them in a more cautious frame of mind than they had been for much of the second quarter.

Better, More Actionable Insights

Let us show you how EPFR can create value for your specific strategy