Inflationary noose tightens and Omicron cuts loose in mid-December

The jury is still out on the impact of rising Covid caseloads triggered by the Omicron variant, but the latest round of inflation numbers delivered a verdict of “not transitory” that major central banks are expected to heed. The Bank of England was the first to respond, raising its key rate, and reinforcing the perception that the US Federal Reserve will accelerate its timetable to wrapping up its current quantitative earing program.

Those perceptions hit fixed income fund groups, Emerging Markets Equity Funds – ex-China – and Real Estate Sector Funds during the second week of December. With the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Japan expected to be the last major central banks to tighten policy, Japan Equity and Europe Bond Funds posted solid inflows.

Investors remain committed to socially responsible (SRI) or environmental, social and governance (ESG) themes. Their appetite for exchange traded funds (ETFs) is also undiminished: after total AUM in ETFs hit this $10 trillion mark in November, those tracked by EPFR have taken in another $100 billion during the first two weeks of December.

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Opening the door to another leg up?

Opening the door to another leg up?

The final week of May ended with US lawmakers voting to lift the country’s debt ceiling, markets assigning a one-in-three chance that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in mid-June and the price of oil testing 18-month lows. Against this backdrop, flows into all EPFR-tracked Equity Funds hit a 17-week high on the back of record-setting inflows to Technology Sector Funds and China Equity Funds absorbed nearly $5 billion.

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