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Global Navigator: Re-pricing for US rate hike
Global Navigator: Re-pricing for US rate hike

Mixed earnings reports from the closely watched American technology sector, the European Central Bank (ECB) starting to talk the anti-inflation talk and oil prices hitting levels last seen in 2004 gave investors additional pause for thought going into February. Those investors, already staring down the barrel of multiple US interest rate hikes this year, stepped up their redemptions from Bond Funds and looked for alternatives to US equity without completely abandoning that asset class.

Global Navigator: Tiptoeing into the Christmas holidays
Global Navigator: Tiptoeing into the Christmas holidays

Flows to EPFR-tracked fund groups during the first week of December tilted towards the positive – at least for the US. Investors steered money into US Equity Funds for the 11th straight week, US Bond and Global Equity Funds rebounded from their first outflows in over seven and 17 months, respectively, and US Money Market Funds took in fresh money for the seventh time in the past eight weeks.

Global Navigator: Investors parse the meaning of transitory
Global Navigator: Investors parse the meaning of transitory

Hopes that the impact of Covid’s Omicron variant will prove transitory, concern that it will not, and fears that inflation is here to stay whip-sawed global markets during the final days of November. Concerns about the latter issue were crystalized by recently reappointed US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s admission that price pressures could spur the Fed to accelerate the tapering of its asset purchases.

EPFR Papers: China Evergrande – Fixed on its fate
EPFR Papers: China Evergrande – Fixed on its fate

The fate of China’s Evergrande, the second-largest developer in China by sales, could have a knock-on effect on China’s real estate sector and the international markets, in what doomsayers have warned could well be another Lehman moment for financial markets.